coal-fired projections: on the draft energy policy - electricity storage

Draft national energy policy for NITI Aayog (DNEP)
It is predicted that the absorption of renewable energy will be a huge leap from now to 2040, and the energy intensity of fossil fuels will also be greatly reduced.
India's per capita income per year due to economic and population growth
Per capita electricity consumption is expected to double from 1075 KW in 2015.
Between 16 and 2900 KW hours in 2040.
DNEP is expected to reach 100% in the short term across India
Prime Minister Modi recently announced that the government will invest $2.
5 billion by the end of 2018 electricity connection for every household in India
Steadily improve energy efficiency.
However, DNEP did not consider several key issues involved in the ongoing energy transition.
Based on coal, despite the low operating efficiency of existing coal plants, DNEP relies on coal power to maintain the country's basic load demand to meet the growing energy demand.
The company proposes that 67% of India's electricity generation will be generated by coal in 2022.
The first abnormal situation is that, while India claims to be vigorously promoting renewable energy, it will continue to rely on coal to generate electricity.
Coal is growing at the same time as renewable energy.
This duality is possible because India did not commit to actually reducing greenhouse gas emissions at the Paris climate conference in 2015.
The second anomaly is that even with this target, India will only need 0. 741 billion tons of coal in 2022 and only 0. 876 billion tons in 2027.
However, the Ministry of Coal continues to advance its ambitious goal of increasing coal production to 1.
By 2020, 5 billion tons will be produced, of which 0. 5 billion tons are expected from private coal mines and about 1 billion tons from the public sector.
DNEP did not say what the fate of the new coal miners, who have actively bid and won the right to mine coal for captive power generation.
If they can't generate electricity from coal, what will they do with coal?
Electricity generation is free under the Electricity Act of 2003, so private miners can build power plants without any permits.
All they need is a connection to the grid.
Because the grid is state-
The central government has enough influence to delay or postpone contact.
In the past three years, demand for electricity from independent coal producers has declined due to slow industrial growth.
The load utilization rate of public and private power plants is only 60%.
Coal producers are waiting to breathe and seek support from the coal and electricity sectors.
This support may not be provided.
The traditional power industry has suffered a lot of defaults, bankruptcies and other legal procedures for bank loans.
It is not surprising that new energy investors are crowding out emerging solar energy.
Electric Future DNEP does not emphasize the gradual replacement of internal combustion engines and electric vehicles.
Several European countries have announced plans to buy 100% electric vehicles over the next 20 years.
This shift in the automotive industry can be accompanied by power gridsand consumer-
Electricity storage levels in homes, offices and factories.
While storage and electric vehicles are roughly mentioned, DNEP does not focus on these key topics.
DNEP acknowledged that India's oil consumption increased by 63% from 2005 to 2016, while its refining capacity increased by only 15%.
Natural gas consumption has increased by 38% since 2012, while production has actually declined.
India's energy security does require significant strategic oil reserves to address any changes in its international supply chain.
While international oil prices have fallen over the past few years, India has been increasing its reserves.
However, the strategic reserve of oil does not address the systemic reasons for the high dependence on oil.
The peak of India's oil demand could have been envisaged, but DNEP was not sure.
On the one hand, the draft policy acknowledges that India's dependence on oil imports could rise to 55% by 2040 from the current 33%.
On the other hand, it does not provide anything to limit this dependency.
All services provided by DNEP are intended to facilitate the use of public transport and railways to reduce oil consumption.
Unless electricity is carefully planned, India's dependence on imported oil may continue.
The drafting committee needs to look at the paradigm shift that takes place in storage and electric vehicles to promote new technologies in the renewable energy sector, such as smart grids, smart homes, battery storage, and concentrated solar thermal power and power.
Why did India miss the revolution in these technologies?
India also missed opportunities in equipment manufacturing.
New institutions, organizations and funding mechanisms for promoting renewable technologies need to be established no later than the end of this year.
Armin Rosencranz is a professor of law at the global university of Jindal and Mitakshara Goyal is the fourth place in the University --