Twelve years to transform transit - lithium ion battery price

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In a recent article, I suggest that Manitoba make the most of the disruptive changes that come with the global campaign to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
I would like to provide some concrete examples in which Manitoba can take advantage of its natural advantages to become a global leader.
Let's start with a tiny disruptive change in most Manitoba population bags.
What I'm talking about is not a smartphone, but an extremely powerful battery used by a smartphone.
Ruthless and fast
Over the past decade, the rapid development of battery technology has enabled consumers to carry a gadget with them, connecting them to the rest of the world through audio, text, photo and video communications, almost obsolete cameras, CD players, fax machines, scanners, video recorders, landlines and even printed text. The lithium-
Ion battery
Improving performance such as charging density, cycle efficiency, charging rate and cost is a popular technology at present (although there are many new alternatives in the project) in addition to communication and media, it is changing all aspects of society. Electricity-
Electric public transport, once dominated by trams, trolleys and trains, is making a comeback in the form of batteries.
Electric buses have largely benefited from strong growth in battery technology.
At the beginning of 2016, Antelope Valley Transit Authority, Lancaster, California
Announced that it will become the first 100 electric bus fleet in North America to convert the entire fleet of its 85 buses to batteries-
Electric vehicles provided by Chinese carmaker BYD Motor Company.
The New York bus is a larger transportation authority that operates 5,700 buses in New York City, and in a May 2016 report it received strong advice to convert its entire fleet into batteries
Motor based on 12-12 fuel cost and maintenance cost savings
Bus life is only one year.
When the benefits to public health through lower particulate emissions are included in the analysis (based on lower respiratory and heart disease rates, fewer hospital and emergency room visits, and lost working days ), electric buses cost less than half the life of diesel buses.
If the price of carbon emissions is in place, the economic situation will be further improved, resulting in increased upfront costs for electric buses and charging stations, with a return on investment of less than three years.
Other jurisdictions that have purchased or are evaluating electric buses include transit authorities in Greater Los Angeles, Vienna, London and Chicago.
But there are multiple factors in only one city, which makes it a perfect candidate for batteries --
Electric bus: Winnipeg.
A local bus manufacturer with extensive experience in battery was present-
The electric bus (new flying industry) is one of the lowest power costs in developed countries (Manitoba Hydro, A 100 renewable power generation portfolio and a collaboration with local utilities, bus manufacturers and researchers to test and refine on-
Routing charging infrastructure required to complete the transition, no other jurisdiction can meet these conditions.
Take a closer look at these numbers: use the average bus mileage of 2,300 miles per bus per month (provided by the United States)S.
Average fuel usage for a diesel bus (2.
Average diesel price ($1/liter) for Manitoba, average electricity consumption for electric buses (2.
Current electricity charges for 2 KW hours/mile and Manitoba ($0) released by Proterra, another electric bus manufacturer ).
08/kWh), fuel savings per bus are approximately $43,000 per year.
Due to the low maintenance cost of the electric bus (no oil/filter replacement, less wear and tear of tires and brakes due to regenerative braking, lower fault frequency), the cost has been saved as evidenced, about 17,500 a year, Delta dollars per bus per year. So, over a 12-
The average annual service life of a bus, Winnipeg's savings per bus in fuel and maintenance is about $725,000.
Taking into account the current premium paid for ordinary batteries
Electric buses are estimated at $300,000, and savings on fuel and maintenance alone are enough to cover the price premium and cost of charging stations (which, by contrast, looks pale) in the first five to six years of the electric bus.
From the perspective of greenhouse gas emissions, each electric bus can save 160 tons of carbon dioxide per year.
Considering that the Winnipeg Transit Authority (WTA) operates approximately 600 buses, saving 96,000 tons of carbon dioxide per year if the entire fleet is changed to electric, which is equivalent to removing 24,000 vehicles from the road, or convert them into full electric cars.
When the proposed federal carbon tax came into effect on 2022, the price of carbon emissions was $50 per ton, an additional $4 was saved.
WTA will achieve 8 million per year.
Surprisingly, the economic benefits are even greater.
The money saved by purchasing diesel from outside Manitoba for the entire bus fleet will be within the province's $29 million per year.
Additional local revenue from Manitoba Hydro (electricity purchase) is $3 million and revenue from new flyers is $15 million (assuming the purchase of 50 electric buses per year, the goal will be achieved in 12 years.
This analysis does not include the substantial benefits of improving air quality, reducing noise and a healthier working environment for technicians --
All the factors mentioned in other case studies relate to the conversion of transit fleets.
Therefore, in 12 years, there may be a fully electric bus fleet on the streets of Winnipeg with multiple economic, social and environmental benefits.
Nazim Cicek is professor and deputy director, Department of Biological Systems Engineering, University of Manitoba.